Italian 10-year bond yields continued to rise, rising by 10 basis points to 3.29%.WTI crude oil fell by 1.00% in the day and is now reported at $69.26/barrel.The main force of Brent crude oil futures fell by 1.01% in the day to 72.80 US dollars/barrel.
SINOMACH (ING): It will be "neutral" to stop the easing cycle (temporarily) after the European Central Bank cuts interest rates again.Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)Deutsche Bank: MARCUS CHROMIK was appointed as Chief Risk Officer.
Deutsche Bank: MARCUS CHROMIK was appointed as Chief Risk Officer.According to the report, the Israeli Air Force has completed the investigation of the October 7 incident and will submit it to the Chief of Staff next week.Zhang Yiqun, Vice Chairman of the Performance Committee of China Finance Association: The fiscal deficit will be greatly increased or released over 5 trillion yuan next year, and the Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Zhang Yiqun, deputy director of the Performance Committee of China Finance Association, said that the fiscal deficit will be greatly increased on the basis of 3% this year, and it is estimated that deficit ratio will be in the range of 3.5% to 4% next year, which will release more than 5 trillion yuan of space.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13